Hong Kong News

Nonpartisan, Noncommercial, unconstrained.
Monday, May 06, 2024

China Cracked Down on Its Internet Giants. The Rebound Will Be Slow.

China Cracked Down on Its Internet Giants. The Rebound Will Be Slow.

China’s definition of anticompetitive practices looks elastic, leaving markets to guess which internet player might be severely punished in the future.
There are sit-downs, and then there is what occurred in Beijing on April 13. China’s State Administration for Market Regulation summoned 34 internet companies and gave them a month to “correct anticompetitive practices” or be “punished more severely.”

That came days after authorities walloped industry leader Alibaba Group Holding (ticker: BABA) with a record $2.8 billion fine for banning merchants from using competing e-commerce platforms, among other infractions.

Investors didn’t take the news badly, considering. Alibaba’s shares rose 2% on a perception of certainty. The KraneShares CSI China Internet exchange-traded fund (KWEB), which has plunged by a quarter since a February peak, held steady. “Stocks always perform worst when investors don’t know what to expect,” says Zoe Zuo, a global equities analyst at Ivy Investments. “This is the beginning of the end of that phase for Chinese internet.”

But don’t expect a return to last winter’s frenzy, when companies such as Alibaba competitor Pinduoduo (PDD) or food-delivery champion Meituan (3690:Hong Kong) doubled in a few months. The regulators’ definition of anticompetitive looks elastic, leaving markets to guess which internet player might be severely punished and for what. “This is typical of how policy makers communicate when they don’t have a lot of specifics,” says Jason Hsu, chief investment officer at Rayliant Global Advisors.

The state crackdown comes as the industry is cooling off, says Vivian Lin Thurston, portfolio manager of the China A-shares growth strategy at William Blair. E-commerce shot to 25% of Chinese retail sales last year, compared with 10% in the U.S. ”Overall growth is decelerating, and competition actually is intensifying,” she says.

The state could constrain profit in two areas in which internet powers are seeking greener pastures—finance and cloud computing—adds Andrew Mattock, lead manager of the Matthews China Fund. The current regulatory wave started with Alibaba’s financial spinoff, Ant Group, which was forced to cancel its IPO and restructure as a capital-heavy bank, rather than as a capital-light tech provider. A looming duopoly in the cloud between Alibaba and Tencent (700.Hong Kong) could invite price controls, he warns.

At current valuations, Mattock is inclined to look for the next big thing in old things like banks and materials producers. “Some of the companies in IT are still very, very expensive,” he observes.

China’s Communist leaders need their burgeoning digital giants too, to maintain living standards and fulfill ambitious state goals. Old school state banks just can’t service a dynamic online society, Blair’s Thurston argues. “Traditional banking is so obsolete that e-finance is still in the early innings,” she says.

Alibaba and others could return to favor, and earn a lot of money, helping out with Beijing’s pending, massive Smart City initiative, Jason Hsu predicts. Then there is the small matter of the digital renminbi, which begins testing this month, with a whole lot of details to be determined. “The Chinese government is trying to disrupt itself, and it will need partners for that,” Hsu says.

So the dance between Chinese regulators and innovators will be delicate. It will last a while, and investors could get blindsided. “The Communist Party wants to show everyone who’s boss without scaring them so much that they lose their drive,” says Scott Kennedy, senior advisor in Chinese Economics at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. “Typically, they err on the side of the first.”
Newsletter

Related Articles

Hong Kong News
0:00
0:00
Close
It's always the people with the dirty hands pointing their fingers
Paper straws found to contain long-lasting and potentially toxic chemicals - study
FTX's Bankman-Fried headed for jail after judge revokes bail
Blackrock gets half a trillion dollar deal to rebuild Ukraine
Steve Jobs' Son Launches Venture Capital Firm With $200 Million For Cancer Treatments
Google reshuffles Assistant unit, lays off some staffers, to 'supercharge' products with A.I.
End of Viagra? FDA approved a gel against erectile dysfunction
UK sanctions Russians judges over dual British national Kara-Murza's trial
US restricts visa-free travel for Hungarian passport holders because of security concerns
America's First New Nuclear Reactor in Nearly Seven Years Begins Operations
Southeast Asia moves closer to economic unity with new regional payments system
Political leader from South Africa, Julius Malema, led violent racist chants at a massive rally on Saturday
Today Hunter Biden’s best friend and business associate, Devon Archer, testified that Joe Biden met in Georgetown with Russian Moscow Mayor's Wife Yelena Baturina who later paid Hunter Biden $3.5 million in so called “consulting fees”
'I am not your servant': IndiGo crew member, passenger get into row over airline meal
Singapore Carries Out First Execution of a Woman in Two Decades Amid Capital Punishment Debate
Spanish Citizenship Granted to Iranian chess player who removed hijab
US Senate Republican Mitch McConnell freezes up, leaves press conference
Speaker McCarthy says the United States House of Representatives is getting ready to impeach Joe Biden.
San Francisco car crash
This camera man is a genius
3D ad in front of Burj Khalifa
Next level gaming
BMW driver…
Google testing journalism AI. We are doing it already 2 years, and without Google biased propoganda and manipulated censorship
Unlike illegal imigrants coming by boats - US Citizens Will Need Visa To Travel To Europe in 2024
Musk announces Twitter name and logo change to X.com
The politician and the journalist lost control and started fighting on live broadcast.
The future of sports
Unveiling the Black Hole: The Mysterious Fate of EU's Aid to Ukraine
Farewell to a Music Titan: Tony Bennett, Renowned Jazz and Pop Vocalist, Passes Away at 96
Alarming Behavior Among Florida's Sharks Raises Concerns Over Possible Cocaine Exposure
Transgender Exclusion in Miss Italy Stirs Controversy Amidst Changing Global Beauty Pageant Landscape
Joe Biden admitted, in his own words, that he delivered what he promised in exchange for the $10 million bribe he received from the Ukraine Oil Company.
TikTok Takes On Spotify And Apple, Launches Own Music Service
Global Trend: Using Anti-Fake News Laws as Censorship Tools - A Deep Dive into Tunisia's Scenario
Arresting Putin During South African Visit Would Equate to War Declaration, Asserts President Ramaphosa
Hacktivist Collective Anonymous Launches 'Project Disclosure' to Unearth Information on UFOs and ETIs
Typo sends millions of US military emails to Russian ally Mali
Server Arrested For Theft After Refusing To Pay A Table's $100 Restaurant Bill When They Dined & Dashed
The Changing Face of Europe: How Mass Migration is Reshaping the Political Landscape
China Urges EU to Clarify Strategic Partnership Amid Trade Tensions
The Last Pour: Anchor Brewing, America's Pioneer Craft Brewer, Closes After 127 Years
Democracy not: EU's Digital Commissioner Considers Shutting Down Social Media Platforms Amid Social Unrest
Sarah Silverman and Renowned Authors Lodge Copyright Infringement Case Against OpenAI and Meta
Why Do Tech Executives Support Kennedy Jr.?
The New York Times Announces Closure of its Sports Section in Favor of The Athletic
BBC Anchor Huw Edwards Hospitalized Amid Child Sex Abuse Allegations, Family Confirms
Florida Attorney General requests Meta CEO's testimony on company's platforms' alleged facilitation of illicit activities
The Distorted Mirror of actual approval ratings: Examining the True Threat to Democracy Beyond the Persona of Putin
40,000 child slaves in Congo are forced to work in cobalt mines so we can drive electric cars.
×